Sunday, March 7, 2021

1st Assignment for PhD Scholar Research Methodology and Computer Application

 1st  Assignment for PhD Scholar     Research Methodology and Computer Application



…… University, …….

1st  Assignment for Ph. D Scholar

 

Research Methodology and Computer Application

 

[POLICY IMPACT UPON DEVELOPMENT OF CO-OPERATIVES IN NEPAL]

 

 

 

 

1. Explain (Answer in 50 words only)

A. Primary Data

Primary data are those that you have collected yourself, whereas secondary data originate elsewhere. Generally, you will find that you are expected to collect primary data when using quantitative methods, but that secondary data are more acceptable when you are using a qualitative method. This is because there are certain common aspects of qualitative research which involve only secondary data, such as the study of television or newspaper discourses. If you wanted to understand the nature of the representation of Romany people on television, you wouldn’t make your own television programmes! You would use those which exist, and they would form [your] secondary data

B.Secondary Data

Secondary data is data collected by someone other than the user. Common sources of secondary data for social science include censuses, surveys, organizational records and data collected through qualitative methodologies or qualitative research. Primary data, by contrast, are collected by the investigator conducting the research.

Secondary data analysis saves time that would otherwise be spent collecting data and, particularly in the case of quantitative data, provides larger and higher-quality databases that would be unfeasible for any individual researcher to collect on their own. In addition, analysts of social and economic change consider secondary data essential, since it is impossible to conduct a new survey that can adequately capture past change and/or developments.

C. Sampling Errors and Treatment

Sampling error is the deviation of the selected sample from the true characteristics, traits, behaviors, qualities or figures of the entire population. In statistics, sampling error or estimation error is the amount of inaccuracy in estimating some value that is caused by only a portion of a population (i.e. a sample) rather than the whole population. This amount of inaccuracy is commonly referred to as an error. Sampling error can be measured and quoted in many different ways, but in practice the reported error itself is almost always an estimate of the real error rather than an absolute measure of the error (which would usually require analyzing the entire population).

D.Type I error

A type I error, also known as an error of the first kind, is the wrong decision that is made when a test rejects a true null hypothesis (H0). A type I error may be compared with a so called false positive in other test situations. Type I error can be viewed as the error of excessive credulity.[1] In terms of folk tales, an investigator may be "crying wolf" (raising a false alarm) without a wolf in sight (H0: no wolf).

The rate of the type I error is called the size of the test and denoted by the Greek letter α (alpha). It usually equals the significance level of a test. In the case of a simple null hypothesis α is the probability of a type I error. If the null hypothesis is composite, α is the maximum (supremum) of the possible probabilities of a type I error.

E.Type II error

A type II error, also known as an error of the second kind, is the wrong decision that is made when a test fails to reject a false null hypothesis. A type II error may be compared with a so-called false negative in other test situations. Type II error can be viewed as the error of excessive skepticism. In terms of folk tales, an investigator may fail to see the wolf ("failing to raise an alarm"; see Aesop's story of The Boy Who Cried Wolf). Again, H0: no wolf.

The rate of the type II error is denoted by the Greek letter β (beta) and related to the power of a test (which equals 1 − β).

What we actually call type I or type II error depends directly on the null hypothesis. Negation of the null hypothesis causes type I and type II errors to switch roles.

The goal of the test is to determine if the null hypothesis can be rejected. A statistical test can either reject (prove false) or fail to reject (fail to prove false) a null hypothesis, but never prove it true (i.e., failing to reject a null hypothesis does not prove it true).

2.Explain the meaning of:-

A.   Statistical Analysis

This term refers to a wide range of techniques to describe, explore, understand, prove, predict, etc. based on sample datasets collected from populations, using some sampling strategy. It is a collection of methods used to process large amounts of data and report overall trends.  Statistical analysis is particularly useful when dealing with noisy data.  Statistical analysis provides ways to objectively report on how unusual an event is based on historical data.

 

B.Probability Theories

Probability theory is that part of mathematics that aims to provide insight into phenomena that depend on chance or on uncertainty. The most prevalent use of the theory comes through the frequentists’ interpretation of probability in terms of the outcomes of repeated experiments, but probability is also used to provide a measure of subjective beliefs, especially as judged by one’s willingness to place bets.

 

C. Hypothesis Tests

Setting up and testing hypotheses is an essential part of statistical inference. In order to formulate such a test, usually some theory has been put forward, either because it is believed to be true or because it is to be used as a basis for argument, but has not been proved, for example, claiming that a new drug is better than the current drug for treatment of the same symptoms.

In each problem considered, the question of interest is simplified into two competing claims / hypotheses between which we have a choice; the null hypothesis, denoted H0, against the alternative hypothesis, denoted H1. These two competing claims / hypotheses are not however treated on an equal basis: special consideration is given to the null hypothesis.

The hypotheses are often statements about population parameters like expected value and variance; for example H0 might be that the expected value of the height of ten year old boys in the Scottish population is not different from that of ten year old girls. A hypothesis might also be a statement about the distributional form of a characteristic of interest, for example that the height of ten year old boys is normally distributed within the Scottish population.

D. Sample Test

In statistics and survey methodology, sampling is concerned with the selection of a subset of individuals from within a population to estimate characteristics of the whole population. Researchers rarely survey the entire population because the cost of a census is too high. The three main advantages of sampling are that the cost is lower, data collection is faster, and since the data set is smaller. It is possible to ensure homogeneity and to improve the accuracy and quality of the data. Each observation measures one or more properties (such as weight, location, color) of observable bodies distinguished as independent objects or individuals. In survey sampling, weights can be applied to the data to adjust for the sample design, particularly stratified sampling (blocking). Results from probability theory and statistical theory are employed to guide practice. In business and medical research, sampling is widely used for gathering information about a population.

E.Formula of :-

a) Chi-Square Test

The Chi Square (X2) test is undoubtedly the most important and most used member of the nonparametric family of statistical tests. Chi Square is employed to test the difference between an actual sample and another hypothetical or previously established distribution such as that which may be expected due to chance or probability. Chi Square can also be used to test differences between two or more actual samples.

Basic Computational Equation

Example:

 

A

U

D

Observed responses (Fo)

8

8

14

Expected responses (Fe)

(10)

(10)

(10)

Fo - Fe

-2

-2

4

(Fo - Fe)2

4

4

16

.4

.4

1.6

 

2.4

 

Degrees of freedom - (number of levels - 1) = 2

X2.05 = 5.991 2.4 < 5.991

Therefore, accept null hypothesis.

 

When there is only one degree of freedom, an adjustment known as Yates correction for continuity must be employed. To use this correction, a value of 0.5 is subtracted from the absolute value (irrespective of algebraic sign) of the numerator contribution of each cell to the above basic computational formula. The basic chi square computational formula then becomes:

 

b) t Test

"t" is the difference between two sample means measured in terms of the standard error of those means, or "t" is a comparison between two groups means which takes into account the differences in group variation and group size of the two groups. The statistical hypothesis for the "t" test is stated as the null hypothesis concerning differences. There is no significant difference in achievement between group 1 and group 2 on the welding test.

Separate variance formula

Use the separate variance formula if:

 

Pooled Variance Formula

Use the pooled variance formula if:

 Correlated Data Formula

If the samples are related (two measures from the same subject or matched pairs), the correlated data formula is used.

 

In choosing the correct formula, it is fairly easy to determine if the sample sizes are equal. The number of subjects are either the same or they are not.

However, to determine if the variances are homogeneous, use the formula F = s2 (largest) / s2 (smallest). We compare the calculated F value to the F table value at the .05 or .01 level of significance with n1 - 1 and n2 - 1 degrees of freedom.

If the calculated values >= table value, then the variances are not equal; if the calculated value < table value, then the variances are equal.

Example - Calculate the "t" value to test for differences between the achievement of the two samples.

                                        Sample 1                                                  Sample 2

x1

 

x2

1

-2

4

 

1

-4

16

2

-1

1

 

3

-2

4

3

0

0

 

5

0

0

4

1

1

 

7

2

4

5

2

4

 

9

4

16

15

0

10

 

25

0

40

                                        = 3                                                                  = 5

 

*n - 1 used since n < 30

Test for equal sample sizes and homogeneity of variances

n1 = n2 = 5

F = s2 (largest)/s2 (smallest) = 10/2.5 = 4 with 4 and 4 degrees of freedom

F.05 with 4 and 4 degrees of freedom = 6.39

4 < 6.39 so assume s12 = s22

Since sample sizes and variances are equal, either the separate variance formula or the pooled variance formula may be used.

 

Separate Variance Formula

 

with 8 degrees of freedom

 

Pooled Variance Formula

with 8 degrees of freedom

As shown in the above example, the degrees of freedom are calculated differently depending upon whether the n’s and s’s are equal or not. We must check the degrees of freedom corresponding with the formula we use.

To test the hypothesis, we compare the calculated value to the table value for the significance level we have chosen. If the calculated value >= table value, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the difference is greater than that expected by chance. If the calculated value < table value, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude this amount of difference could have been the result of chance.

In our example, our calculated value was -1.265 with 8df and the table value for the .01 level with 8 df was + 3.355. Since |-1.265| < |-3.355|, we accept the null hypothesis and conclude that the mean difference in achievement between the two samples was no greater than would be expected by chance.

3. Explain (Answer in 50 words only)

A. Review of literature and its sources

A literature review is a body of text that aims to review the critical points of current knowledge including substantive findings as well as theoretical and methodological contributions to a particular topic. Literature reviews are secondary sources, and as such, do not report any new or original experimental work.

Most often associated with academic-oriented literature, such as a thesis, a literature review usually precedes a research proposal and results section. Its ultimate goal is to bring the reader up to date with current literature on a topic and forms the basis for another goal, such as future research that may be needed in the area.

A well-structured literature review is characterized by a logical flow of ideas; current and relevant references with consistent, appropriate referencing style; proper use of terminology; and an unbiased and comprehensive view of the previous research on the topic.

B.Data

Data is a collection of facts, such as values or measurements. It can be numbers, words, measurements, observations or even just descriptions of things. Data collection means gathering information to address those critical evaluation questions that you have identified earlier in the evaluation process. There are many methods available to gather information, and a wide variety of information sources. The most important issue related to data collection is selecting the most appropriate information or evidence to answer your questions. To plan data collection, you must think about the questions to be answered and the information sources available. Also, you must begin to think ahead about how the information could be organized, analyzed, interpreted and then reported to various audiences.

C. Information

Information in its most restricted technical sense is an orderedsequence of symbols that can be interpreted as a message. Information can be recorded as signs, or transmitted as signals. Information is any kind of event that affects the state of a dynamic system. Conceptually, information is the message (utterance or expression) being conveyed. This concept has numerous other meanings in different contexts. Moreover, the concept of information is closely related to notions of constraint, communication, control, data, form, instruction, knowledge, meaning, mental stimulus, pattern, perception, representation, and especially entropy.

D.Data collection

Data collection is a term used to describe a process of preparing and collecting data, for example, as part of a process improvement or similar project. The purpose of data collection is to obtain information to keep on record, to make decisions about important issues, to pass information on to others. Primarily, data are collected to provide information regarding a specific topic.Data collection usually takes place early on in an improvement project, and is often formalized through a data collection plan which often contains the following activity.

E. Sources of data and information

(i) By observation: This method implies the collection of information by way of investigator’s own observation, without interviewing the respondents. The information obtained relates to what is currently happening and is not complicated by either the past behaviour or future intentions or attitudes of respondents. This method is no doubt an expensive method and the information provided by this method is also very limited. As such this method is not suitable in inquiries where large samples are concerned.

(ii) Through personal interview: The investigator follows a rigid procedure and seeks answers to a set of pre-conceived questions through personal interviews. This method of collecting data is usually carried out in a structured way where output depends upon the ability of the interviewer to a large extent.

(iii) Through telephone interviews: This method of collecting information involves contacting the respondents on telephone itself. This is not a very widely used method but it plays an important role in industrial surveys in developed regions, particularly, when the survey has to be accomplished in a very limited time.

(iv) By mailing of questionnaires: The researcher and the respondents do come in contact with each other if this method of survey is adopted. Questionnaires are mailed to the respondents with a request to return after completing the same. It is the most extensively used method in various economic and business surveys. Before applying this method, usually a Pilot Study for testing the questionnaire is conduced which reveals the weaknesses, if any, of the questionnaire? Questionnaire to be used must be prepared very carefully so that it may prove to be effective in collecting the relevant information.

(v) Through schedules: Under this method the enumerators are appointed and given training.

They are provided with schedules containing relevant questions. These enumerators go to respondents with these schedules. Data are collected by filling up the schedules by enumerators on the basis of replies given by respondents. Much depends upon the capability of enumerators so far as this method is concerned. Some occasional field checks on the work of the enumerators may ensure sincere work.

 

F. Data Treatment

Two important, though often neglected, parts of an analysis are error analysis and correct results reporting. Results should always be reported along with some estimation of the errors involved. The best way to do this is to report the most likely value along with a confidence interval. The confidence interval gives the range of values thought to contain the "true" value. The statistical treatment of data involves basing the error estimation on firm theoretical principles. This laboratory exercise on treatment of data should help you understand and apply these principles.

G. Sampling and sampling errors

In statistics and survey methodology, sampling is concerned with the selection of a subset of individuals from within a population to estimate characteristics of the whole population.Researchers rarely survey the entire population because the cost of a census is too high. The three main advantages of sampling are that the cost is lower, data collection is faster, and since the data set is smaller it is possible to ensure homogeneity and to improve the accuracy and quality of the data.

Sampling error is the deviation of the selected sample from the true characteristics, traits, behaviors, qualities or figures of the entire population. Sampling process error occurs because researchers draw different subjects from the same population but still, the subjects have individual differences. Keep in mind that when you take a sample, it is only a subset of the entire population; therefore, there may be a difference between the sample and population.


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