Merkel to chart 2017 election battle at party congress
2016-12-03 19:14:31.0
BERLIN, Dec 3, 2016 (AFP) - After Donald Trump's shock victory, Francois
Hollande's decision not to seek re-election and populism on the rise, German
Chancellor Angela Merkel is next up on the campaign podium to set out her
strategy for winning in 2017 polls.
When
her centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) holds its annual two-day
congress from Tuesday, she will seek to rally members behind her bid for a
fourth term as Germany's leader.
Merkel
has admitted that the general election, likely to be held in September, will be
"more difficult than any before it".
Her
opponents will seek to capitalise on resentment over her liberal refugee policy
that brought one million asylum seekers to Europe's biggest economy over the
past two years.
Here is
an outline of what the CDU congress in the western city of Essen is about.
What is
expected to happen?
The
event opens Tuesday with a speech by Merkel, who has led the CDU for 16 years
after ousting long-time leader Helmut Kohl.
The
62-year-old is due to give a rundown on what she has achieved since their last
congress, especially on the hot-button issue of reducing the mass influx of
refugees and migrants.
Crucially,
the party faithful will be keen to hear how she expects to take the party
forward into the coming election year, which will pit the CDU against its
current coalition partner the Social Democrats and several smaller parties.
Will
anyone challenge her?
There is
no question Merkel will win a new two-year mandate to helm the CDU, but her
score, and the length of the standing ovation, will be closely scrutinised for
any signs of dissent.
At the
last vote in 2014, she scored a North Korean-style 96.7 percent, just below her
record high of 97.9 percent from 2012.
Several
potential successors have been floated, but no one has caught the wider
public's imagination -- among them Interior Minister Thomas de Maiziere and
Defence Minister Ursula von der Leyen.
Most German
voters still feel comfortable with "Mutti" (Mummy) -- a survey found
64 percent welcomed her new candidacy against 33 percent who did not.
Political
analyst Hajo Funke of Berlin's Free University said Merkel had made "the
correct decision, for both the party and for Germany's stability".
Despite
some grumbling from their Bavarian CSU allies, angered by the migrant influx,
the conservative CDU rank-and-file "know who generates power for their
party," Funke said.
What
else will they discuss?
While
CDU members approve of Merkel's fourth term bid as chancellor, not all are on
board with her policies.
Merkel
will be called to account for the party's poor showing in five consecutive
state elections this year in a voter backlash driven by the migrant crisis.
Linked
to that are questions on how the party can counter the leaching away of support
to the right-wing populist and anti-Islam Alternative for Germany (AfD), which
is polling around 12 percent.
To
address some of the concerns, party chiefs will propose banning the full-face
Muslim veil and cracking down on marriages involving minors.
Some
may seek a tougher stance on immigration. CDU deputy chairman Thomas Strobl
last week set out a demand to streamline the extradition of rejected asylum seekers.
But it
remains unclear if his proposal will be put to the congress, or whether party
leaders will try to quash unwelcomed suggestions through backroom compromises.
What's
next for Merkel?
With
the party congress, the CDU kicks off a long election campaign in which Merkel
will seek to capture the middle ground.
CDU
general secretary Peter Tauber said "all the questions that currently
preoccupy the population also preoccupy CDU members".
Merkel's
party next year faces three state elections, with momentum steadily building to
the last regional poll in May in Germany's most populous state, North
Rhine-Westphalia.
The new
year promises to throw up a host of new international challenges. It will see
Trump move into the White House and Britain start its EU exit negotiations.
Merkel
will also watch carefully the hotly contested French presidential election and
its impact on key EU issues, including migration and attitude towards Russia.